Tuesday, July 22, 2008

SNG Luck Analyser

Tried Juk's luck analyser program. Apparently it analyses your all-in situations with statistical expectations. Using Independent Chip Model (ICM), it then "adjusts" your winnings and see if you're running bad. Works by processing your hand histories and puts the data in excel sheet to plot.

Below is my graph for the last 600+ SNGs. Point to note: The graph seems to be incorrect as I'm down less than $300 whereas graph says I'm down $600. If the program is correct, it seems that I'm "running bad'?





I believe the discrepancy between my true winnings/losses versus the "Actual Winnings" in graphs might be due to disconnections(duplicate hand history files?). No idea. So it's hard to put any meaningful conclusion based on this graph. However, we might reasonably say that I'm not running good at the moment. :-)

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